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Friday, Sep 14 2018

Full Issue

Trump's False Claims Over Hurricane Maria's Death Toll Anger, Shock Both Allies And Critics: 'I'm Flabbergasted'

President Donald Trump sparked a firestorm on Thursday when he tweeted that the death toll estimate of nearly 3,000 in Puerto Rico from Hurricane Maria was inflated by Democrats to make him look bad. The numbers have been widely accepted as accurate by Puerto Rico, Republicans and researchers, among other experts.

In a pair of tweets casting doubt on the official estimate of nearly 3,000 deaths, the president clung to an outdated estimate, wrongly suggested that doubt over the figure emerged 鈥渁 long time later鈥 and inaccurately characterized the new figure as including all deaths on the island. (Qiu, 9/13)

鈥淚鈥檓 flabbergasted,鈥 said Irwin Redlener, director of Columbia University鈥檚 National Center for Disaster Preparedness, a think tank. 鈥淧eople need to understand we鈥檙e not just counting immediate fatalities. We have to understand what happens long-term with ongoing conditions.鈥 (Shields, 9/13)

Public health experts have estimated that nearly 3,000 perished because of the effects of Maria. But Trump, whose efforts to help the island territory recover have been persistently criticized, was having none of that. He said just six to 18 people had been reported dead when he visited two weeks after the storm and suggested that many had been added later "if a person died for any reason, like old age." Trump's jarring comments, coming as the East Coast braced for a massive storm, offered fresh evidence of his resistance to criticism and his insistence on viewing large and small events through the prism of his own success or failure. (Lucey, Miller and LeMire, 9/14)

The researchers estimated the number of excess deaths by analyzing death certificates and other mortality data, and comparing the number of deaths during the designated period with past mortality patterns. They calculated the total number of deaths in the period was 22% higher than the number of fatalities that would have been expected, the researchers said. In analyzing Puerto Rico鈥檚 death-certification process, the study found that listed causes of death included cardiac arrest, respiratory failure and septicemia. But researchers concluded that such causes were sometimes misassigned, with physicians failing to link the deaths to the hurricane. (Ballhaus, 9/13)

Kaiser Health News: 4 Takeaways On Puerto Rico鈥檚 Death Toll, In The Wake Of Trump鈥檚 Tweet Storm聽

Prior to the GWU study, other researchers and one newspaper released estimates that also garnered media attention. One study, published in the New England Journal of Medicine, put the number of excess deaths at 4,645 in the three months following the hurricane. A study by The New York Times used vital records from the government to calculate an excess of 1,052 deaths in the first 42 days after the disaster. (Heredia Rodriguez, 9/14)

Ever since the storm, Mr. Trump has pushed back against criticism that his administration was slow to respond to Puerto Rico, where the distribution of supplies, gas and food lagged and power outages lasted for months, particularly compared with a swift and efficient response to an earlier hurricane that hit Texas. It was six days after Hurricane Maria hit the island before Mr. Trump pledged to go there, even as he traveled to Texas four days after Hurricane Harvey made landfall. Full power was restored to homes only in August, nearly a year after the storm. Former Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey, a Republican ally of Mr. Trump鈥檚 who was praised for his own leadership during Hurricane Sandy in 2012, said that Puerto Rico was an 鈥渆xtraordinary challenge鈥 in part because the island鈥檚 infrastructure was in poor shape to begin with and that Mr. Trump resented being blamed for factors beyond his control. (Baker, 9/13)

Trump鈥檚 charge about the Puerto Rico storm 鈥 a humanitarian crisis that continues to affect life on the island a year later 鈥 baffled his advisers as well as officials at the Federal Emergency Management Agency, who have been working to prepare the Carolinas for Hurricane Florence, the potentially deadly storm forecast to make landfall Friday. Trump鈥檚 aides said they have tried to focus the president鈥檚 attention on Florence, noting that he has been engaged in daily disaster briefings and called governors, senators and other officials representing North Carolina and South Carolina. Officials have brought large, colored charts and graphs into the Oval Office to illustrate Florence鈥檚 dangerous path for Trump, who is a visual learner. And the president made a rare trip outside, to visit the staff of the National Security Council鈥檚 resilience office housed across the street in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building. (Rucker, Costa and Dawsey, 9/13)

Florida Republicans are angered by President Donald Trump advancing a conspiracy theory casting doubt on Hurricane Maria鈥檚 estimated death toll in Puerto Rico. Even Trump鈥檚 two top Florida allies, Gov. Rick Scott and GOP gubernatorial candidate Ron DeSantis, disagreed with his insensitive comments. (Caputo, 9/13)

Emails released Thursday by congressional Democrats show correspondence between first responders that appears to undermine the Trump administration鈥檚 public reporting of the human toll from Hurricane Maria last year. In one email, dated Sept. 29, 2017, a first responder 鈥 whose name has been redacted 鈥 describes 鈥渇inding mass graves in mud slide areas,鈥 and requests counseling support for federal first responders in the area. An unnamed Army National Guard general is included in the correspondence. (Wilhelm, 9/13)

This is part of the Morning Briefing, a summary of health policy coverage from major news organizations. Sign up for an email subscription.
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